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Credit Agricole said the dollar's underperformance reflects building expectations of Fed rate cuts tied to virus concerns over US growth. It argued that monetary easing alone cannot offset a global slowdown if the virus becomes a pandemic.
Fiscal talk in Germany was noted as possibly late.
The analysis points to continued dollar weakness while Fed cut bets persist, which supports dollar-priced commodities. Stalled global growth would still weigh on overall commodity demand.
investinglive.com27 Feb 2020Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
