
Palm oil futures have rallied into a bull market, about 30% above the July four-year low. A Bloomberg survey of 11 traders and analysts expects benchmark futures to average RM2,350 a tonne this quarter and RM2,400 in early 2020.
Respondents cite Indonesian biodiesel demand, slowing output growth and higher Chinese imports as the drivers.
Slowing production and firmer Indonesian biodiesel and Chinese import demand tighten vegetable oil supply, supporting palm and soybean oil prices. Palm's premium over gasoil, however, reduces its appeal as a biofuel feedstock and limits further upside.
Setelah 133 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (64% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,8% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 224 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,1%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Survey of traders expects continued price gains on Indonesian biodiesel demand, slowing output growth and higher Chinese imports.