
An investment blog argues that K+S, a high-cost German potash producer, faces pressure from the collapse in oil prices. It notes Russian and Belarusian producers have low cash costs and that a weaker ruble historically pushes potash prices down.
The author has reopened a short position on both the stock and the bonds.
A weaker ruble and lower energy costs can encourage low-cost Russian and Belarusian potash producers to sell more aggressively, which pressures global potash prices. This is an investment opinion rather than a confirmed supply change.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.