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CME cattle futures fell on May 1, 2024 after reports that USDA was testing retail ground beef for H5N1 bird flu, which investors feared would hurt consumer demand. June live cattle closed about 1.1 cents lower and August feeders fell 3.75 cents, both to multi-week lows.
Lean hogs and boxed beef also declined.
Fear of H5N1 contamination in beef can cut retail and wholesale demand and pull futures lower even without confirmed positives. Feeder and live cattle prices fall with it, which affects feed buyers' cattle-feeding margins.
marketscreener.comReuters1 Mei 2024Setelah 70 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,0%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 46 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Bakalan bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +1,6%), dan +1,8% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 117 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Babi Hidup (Lean Hogs) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,6%), dan +1,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
On May 1, reports that USDA was testing retail ground beef for H5N1 sparked fears of weaker consumer demand, sending June live cattle to multi-week lows, which matches the timing and direction of the move.
USDA ground beef H5N1 testing news hit cattle futures on May 1, a day after the move, but it reflects the same demand-fear sentiment already weighing on the market.
