
Argentines are rushing to buy black-market dollars as real interest rates fall below zero and fears of another sovereign debt default grow. The peso hit a record 118 per dollar in informal exchange houses on Thursday, up from 107 the previous day.
Central Bank rate cuts and expected money printing to fund social spending are adding pressure.
Peso weakness and rising inflation expectations raise Argentine feed and grain input costs in pesos and can spur farmer selling or holding of crops, affecting export availability. Currency depreciation typically makes Argentine soy products cheaper on world markets.
Setelah 73 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,9% sampai +2,1%), dan -1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.