The euro's recovery depends on EU leaders agreeing on a recovery fund, after the frugal four countered a Franco-German proposal for 500 billion euros with loans instead of grants. The European Commission was preparing its own proposal, and the euro had weakened to a three-year low in March.
Analysts said a plan acceptable to all members is needed for the euro to move above 1.10.
A credible EU recovery fund would support the euro against the dollar, which tends to lift dollar-priced commodity values for non-US buyers. Failure to agree would leave the euro vulnerable and the dollar firmer.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.