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DTN reports fat cattle feeders cannot get bids for over a month while USDA boxed beef cutout rose above $4 per pound, a record. Grocers Kroger, Costco, Walmart and Hy-Vee are limiting meat sales as packing plants shut due to COVID-19.
The widening gap between cash cattle and boxed beef highlights packer disruption that suppresses live cattle demand, a bearish factor for feeder and fed cattle values.
dtnpf.com5 Mei 2020Setelah 70 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,0%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 46 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Bakalan bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +1,6%), dan +1,8% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Record boxed beef cutout above $4/lb and retail rationing signaled strong packer margins, supporting a rebound in depressed fat cattle prices.
Record boxed beef cutout above $4/lb and packing plant shutdowns signaled strong packer margins and a likely resumption of buying, supporting futures despite the cash bid gap.
Record boxed beef above $4/lb with feeders unable to get bids points to a severe supply bottleneck and a large beef-cattle price gap that set up the rebound.
