◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

3 Des 2020MAKROAS

Grains and the Dollar: An Imperfect but Negative Relationship

The U.S. Dollar Index has fallen about 11% since mid-March 2020 from a high of 102.8, while CBOT soybeans rallied roughly 30%, corn about 20%, and SRW wheat about 6% over the same period. The article attributes the grain rally to Northern Hemisphere weather problems and strong US export sales to China and Mexico.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A weaker dollar makes US grain cheaper for foreign buyers and has tracked the price rally, so continued dollar weakness supports grain and feed prices.

BERDAMPAK PADAKedelai▲Jagung▲Gandum (SRW)▲Dolar AS (Luas)▼

1 SUMBER
dtnpf.comElaine Kub3 Des 2020

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Kedelai▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +1,3%5d +0,5%20d +14,1%

Setelah 123 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,0% sampai +1,8%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.

30 Okt 2025Dollar rises against the real, still influenced by Fed decision | Brasil 247+3,7%
29 Jan 2026What the sinking U.S. dollar means to Canada and world+1,6%
22 Okt 2020Goldman Sachs: Commodities bull market ahead on dollar, inflation risk-1,4%
15 Nov 2023FX Daily: Dollar bears may have jumped the gun | articles | ING THINK+0,6%
25 Sep 2026What’s behind the latest surge in grain and oilseed prices?-2,5%

Jagung▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,5%5d +0,0%20d +3,9%

Setelah 151 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,9% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,3% selama 20 sesi.

29 Jan 2026What the sinking U.S. dollar means to Canada and world-0,3%
22 Okt 2020Goldman Sachs: Commodities bull market ahead on dollar, inflation risk+1,6%
15 Nov 2023FX Daily: Dollar bears may have jumped the gun | articles | ING THINK-0,8%
25 Sep 2026What’s behind the latest surge in grain and oilseed prices?-0,3%
30 Jan 2019U.S. Dollar Dives after Federal Reserve Moves to the Sidelines+0,2%

Gandum (SRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -0,2%5d +9,8%20d +9,8%

Setelah 57 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (65% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,5% sampai +1,7%), dan -0,7% selama 20 sesi.

27 Des 2019Fluctuations in sterling affecting grain prices | The Scottish Farmer+0,2%
29 Jan 2026What the sinking U.S. dollar means to Canada and world-0,5%
27 Agu 2024Grains, demand & supply | ANZ+4,1%
22 Okt 2020Goldman Sachs: Commodities bull market ahead on dollar, inflation risk-0,5%
28 Jan 2018U.S. dollar impacts grain prices - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+0,2%

Dolar AS (Luas)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -0,5%5d -0,5%20d -1,2%

Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

30 Jul 2018Rand gains ground against the dollar+0,2%
11 Feb 2026Euro and yuan global ambitions hasten the dollar drop | Reuters+0,3%
15 Feb 2018USD/JPY: The end of a beautiful relationship | snaps | ING THINK+0,4%
28 Jul 2021Canadian dollar gains as Fed readies new money market facilities - The Globe and Mail-0,4%
2 Mei 2018US Dollar turns negative post-FOMC, around 92.40 — Octa+1,2%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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