Oil and gas prices surged on Monday after Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran and Tehran's retaliation forced shutdowns of facilities across the region and disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent settled up 6.7% at $77.74 a barrel after trading as high as $82.37.
Disruption through Hormuz threatens a major share of seaborne energy flows, lifting crude, natural gas and freight costs. Higher energy and fertilizer costs feed through to feed production expenses.
Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 136 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median +2,7% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,8% sampai +8,8%), dan +4,0% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Reports Brent settling up 6.7% on Monday March 2 after US/Israeli strikes on Iran and Hormuz shipping disruption, directly matching the move.
Initial strikes on Iran and Hormuz shipping disruption triggered the first Brent jump, starting the 5-day rally via supply risk.
Initial strikes on Iran and retaliation shut regional facilities and disrupted Hormuz shipping, starting the supply-shock rally.