Feeder cattle futures spreads across all months have recovered to near pre-COVID levels as quarantine restrictions and packing plant capacity issues have largely been resolved. Pasture conditions have deteriorated, with the share rated poor or very poor rising since late May and running well worse than the five-year average, driven by drought spreading from the Southwest into the Great Plains.
The author notes producers may need to market weaned calves earlier or winter them.
Deteriorating pasture forces earlier calf sales and adds supply to feeder markets, which could pressure prices, while cheaper corn would support feedlot margins. Producers can use futures spreads to lock in margins.
Setelah 21 peristiwa cuaca netral sebelumnya, Sapi Bakalan bergerak median +1,7% selama 5 sesi (67% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,1% sampai +2,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 20 peristiwa cuaca netral sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,2%), dan +3,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.