
Rabobank analysts forecast that global exportable dairy surpluses will keep expanding into 2018, with milk supply growing 2.2% year over year in the third quarter of 2017. They projected US Class III milk falling about $3 to $13.99 per cwt in the first quarter, with Class IV at $12.34.
A growing exportable surplus weighs on world dairy prices and pressures farm margins, reducing the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients. Weaker milk prices are expected to persist through the second quarter of 2018.
Setelah 273 peristiwa laporan bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +0,4%), dan -1,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global dairy surpluses and Class III falling about $3 to $13.99 in Q1 is a bearish supply and sentiment driver that could prompt futures selling.
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global surpluses and Class III falling about $3 sets a bearish supply-driven tone.