
US natural gas futures reached a nine-month high as producers shut Gulf offshore wells ahead of Hurricane Laura, pushing output to its lowest since 2018. LNG exports fell to an 18-month low as vessels avoided the storm.
Front-month prices were up about 41% in August, helped by sharp gains in European and Asian benchmarks.
Storm-related output losses tighten US supply and lift gas prices, which raises the cost of nitrogen fertilizer. The rally is driven by a temporary weather shock, so price risk depends on how quickly Gulf production returns.
Setelah 221 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median +3,3% selama 5 sesi (61% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,2% sampai +14,0%), dan -0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.