Memuat…
Cattle markets fell sharply during COVID-19 uncertainty, with LMIC economist Jim Robb citing a 6.7% rise in US beef production and heavier-than-expected weights and slaughter. He also flagged an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia and a rising recession probability.
Heavier beef output and weaker demand expectations point to lower cattle prices and softer demand for feed inputs, while low oil prices add to macro uncertainty.
thefencepost.comRachel Gabel13 Mar 2020Setelah 37 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Hidup bergerak median -1,1% selama 5 sesi (30% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,3% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 27 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Sapi Bakalan bergerak median -0,9% selama 5 sesi (37% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,7% sampai +0,4%), dan 0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Notes heavy beef production, oil price war and recession risk driving cattle markets lower on March 13.
Heavier beef production, oil price war and recession fears weighed on cattle demand expectations and sentiment during the selloff.
Cites COVID-19 uncertainty, heavy beef production and weights, the oil price war and recession odds as reasons for the sharp cattle market drop (supply and macro sentiment).
