
Hurricane Ida damaged more Gulf Coast grain terminals, including a second Cargill facility in Westwego, Louisiana, while power outages kept others shut. The lower Mississippi River was closed to vessel traffic with sunken barges and debris blocking the channel.
Urea barge prices from New Orleans also jumped from $450 to $552 per ton.
The Gulf handles about 60% of US grain exports, so weeks of stalled loadings and river closure delay shipments, pressure US cash grain and soybean prices, and raise barge freight costs.
Setelah 359 peristiwa logistik bearish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,5%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 297 peristiwa logistik bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 49 peristiwa logistik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (45% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,2%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Hurricane Ida disrupted Mississippi River logistics and sent New Orleans urea barge prices from $450 to $552/t, a direct supply-side shock matching the move window.
Lower Mississippi closure with sunken barges and debris, plus damaged terminals, disrupted barge movements and unloading, tightening barge availability and pushing St. Louis freight rates higher in the days up to Sept 7.
Hurricane Ida damage and the closed lower Mississippi pushed New Orleans urea barge prices sharply higher (from $450 to $552/t), a direct supply and logistics shock that fits a one-day jump ending 2021-09-02.
Further Ida damage and a closed lower Mississippi reinforced the supply and logistics squeeze and the barge price jump.
Further Ida damage and the river closure reinforced supply and logistics tightness and the barge price spike heading into the move.
Describes Ida-related terminal damage and river closure with urea barge prices jumping from $450 to $552/t, corroborating the supply disruption, but it is dated after the move.