
Russian 12.5% wheat rose $8.50 week on week to $236.50/mt FOB but eased from the week's start as Chicago lost nearly 5%. Abnormally dry September conditions across the Black Sea, with many Russian and Ukrainian fields lacking topsoil moisture, persist as a bullish factor.
Dryness during winter planting in the Black Sea raises concern for the 2021 crop, which could support wheat prices if rain fails to arrive, though competition from other origins caps gains.
Setelah 322 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (HRW) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,5% sampai +3,2%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Dryness across the Black Sea and Russian/Ukrainian fields lacking topsoil moisture is a supply-risk factor that supports a bullish rebound after Chicago's near 5% loss earlier in the week.