
Chicago wheat futures fell back on October 11, 2022 after a three-month high the previous day, as escalating Russia-Ukraine war signs raised doubts about Black Sea grain trade. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Abramchenko suggested Moscow could scrap its grain export quota for the second half of the season given a bumper harvest.
Algeria's OAIC bought an estimated 400,000-480,000 tonnes of milling wheat, likely Russian-sourced.
Expectations of large Russian export supplies and a possible relaxed quota weigh on world wheat prices, offsetting war-related supply risk. Lower wheat prices make wheat cheaper as a feed ingredient relative to corn.
Setelah 80 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 16 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Gandum (HRW) bergerak median -3,0% selama 5 sesi (13% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,3% sampai -1,9%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.