US natural gas futures tumbled on Nov. 19 after forecasts shifted warmer through early December, reversing a short-lived gain.
Government data showed an unusually large storage injection for the time of year. The March-April spread narrowed to a record low, reflecting skepticism about tight winter supply.
Warmer forecasts and a large storage build reduce expected winter heating demand and weaken the bullish case for gas. Lower gas prices can reduce input costs for fertilizer and ethanol but also weaken the case for higher gas-linked energy prices.
Setelah 104 peristiwa cuaca bearish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median -7,8% selama 5 sesi (22% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -14,8% sampai -0,8%), dan -3,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.