
CoBank economist Will Sawyer says China has started rebuilding its hog herd, which will slow US pork export growth over the next three to five years. Greater China now takes nearly 8% of US pork production, up from 2% before the African swine fever outbreak.
The report says early signs of herd growth are visible.
Expected slowing of Chinese pork import demand is bearish for US hog prices and reduces future demand for feed inputs tied to US pork production.
Setelah 117 peristiwa penyakit bearish sebelumnya, Babi Hidup (Lean Hogs) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,6%), dan +1,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.