
MUFG analysts expected the FOMC meeting to underline substantial stimulus and change its quantitative easing guidance, keeping the dollar on a weaker footing. They forecast about a 5% DXY depreciation by end-2021 and noted the 10-year real yield near -100 basis points.
Expectations of negative real yields and dollar weakness support commodity prices in dollar terms, which lowers the import cost of feed ingredients for overseas buyers.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.