
CGS-CIMB Research says Indonesia's progressive export levy revision is negative for upstream Indonesian palm oil producers but slightly positive for downstream players. It expects Malaysian upstream producers to benefit.
The levy is linked to the CPO reference price and aims to rebuild the nearly empty CPO fund.
The analysis shows the levy shifts margins between upstream and downstream players and across borders. It suggests the policy will sustain the B30 mandate, which keeps palm oil demand firm.
Setelah 513 peristiwa kebijakan netral sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median 0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.