
Analysts previewed the ECB meeting and expected the euro not to be a risk event, as the policy focus had shifted to rising bond yields. They saw no need for the ECB to lean against euro strength.
A front-loaded PEPP would only move the euro significantly if the envelope were increased.
Euro-specific drivers are expected to take a back seat to US yields and dollar strength. The analysts expect EUR/USD to rebound from a recent fall that they judge overdone.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.