Why La Niña and “Western V” Climate Conditions Continue to Appear Conducive to Poor Eastern East Africa March-to-May 2021 Rains and Crop Production

Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

• 13 Mar 2020Rainfall and other climate conditions for March - AgriFocus Africa-4,2%
• 30 Jul 2018IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months+1,3%
• 4 Sep 2026El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+0,5%
• 26 Mei 2020IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | May Climate Briefing: ENSO-Neutral Conditions Dominate+1,3%
• 13 Nov 2023Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal-0,5%

Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

• 16 Jun 2022Dry conditions in Argentina cut crop’s size | The Western Producer-2,3%
• 30 Jul 2018IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months-1,2%
• 25 Jul 2018Strategie Grains cuts EU soft wheat crop estimate to 6-year low | The Western Producer-0,6%
• 4 Sep 2026El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+1,4%
• 17 Feb 2022Dry Conditions Continue Affecting Global Wheat Production+3,9%