
Capital Economics expects the euro to weaken to about 1.15 against the dollar by year-end 2021, after a roughly 4% rise since late March to around 1.22. The forecast rests on the ECB staying very accommodative for years while the Fed raises rates earlier than the eurozone and US inflation proves stronger.
A stronger dollar would make U.S. feed commodities more expensive for euro-based buyers and tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and meal prices. This is an analyst forecast rather than a new event, so the impact is modest.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.