
Brazilian soybean farmers are holding back their crops rather than selling, expecting prices to rise as global supplies tighten. Brokers and buyers also cite fears that La Niña could limit the next South American crop and that domestic political tensions could weaken the real.
The farmers aim to pressure exporters and processors into paying more.
Reduced farmer selling tightens the physical soybean supply available to exporters and crushers, which supports international soy and meal prices. A weaker real would also make Brazilian exports cheaper, partly offsetting that support.
Setelah 696 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 16 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.