Brazil's real fell about 1% after the central bank raised its Selic rate by 150 basis points, more than the 100 bps expected in a Reuters poll. Traders had wanted a more hawkish stance, and the real's decline was seen as likely to be temporary.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper in dollar terms, which can add export competitiveness and pressure world prices. The aggressive tightening also raises concern about slower Brazilian growth and feed demand.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.