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Several US fertilizer suppliers withdrew spot offers on February 24, 2022, as uncertainty from Russia's invasion of Ukraine unsettled markets. Mosaic pulled DAP, MAP and MOP barge offers, and some nitrogen suppliers also withdrew offers.
Market participants expected spring supply to be unaffected, but values, already rising for Nola urea, could climb.
Withdrawn offers reduce phosphate and potash availability at US ports, and the planned loss of Belarusian potash from April tightens supply further. Buyers should expect firmer DAP, potash and urea prices.
argusmedia.com24 Feb 2022Setelah 114 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,2%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
On Feb 24 Mosaic and other US suppliers pulled DAP, MAP and MOP barge offers after the invasion, a direct supply-side shock that removed spot offers and pushed DAP prices up within the window.
