
Following a hotter-than-expected inflation reading, rate futures priced in a half-point Federal Reserve hike in March 2022 and a path to 1.75%-2.00% by year-end. The market saw only a slight chance of a smaller quarter-point move.
Aggressive tightening expectations strengthen the dollar and pressure commodity prices, including feed ingredients priced in dollars. Stronger dollar conditions can also reduce import demand from emerging markets.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.