Speculators' net long bets on U.S. dollar edge higher -CFTC, Reuters

Setelah 89 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (74% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,0% sampai +1,0%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

• 2 Mar 2026Dollar (USD) Gains as Higher Oil Prices Damp Bets on Fed Rate Cuts - Bloomberg+1,4%
• 24 Feb 2022Dollar jumps to near two-year high as Russia invades Ukraine | Reuters+1,0%
• 25 Mar 2026Dollar rises as US-Iran divide dashes de-escalation hopes | Reuters+0,8%
• 7 Mar 2022Dollar edges higher as surging energy prices prompt safe-haven flows | Financial Newsletter+0,3%
• 25 Feb 2022From euro to EM: Russia's Ukraine war upends market bets | Reuters+0,0%

Setelah 36 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (22% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,8% sampai -0,3%), dan -0,7% selama 20 sesi.

• 7 Mar 2022Dollar edges higher as surging energy prices prompt safe-haven flows | Financial Newsletter+0,2%
• 25 Feb 2022From euro to EM: Russia's Ukraine war upends market bets | Reuters-0,9%
• 4 Mar 2022Flight to Quality Takes US Dollar Higher - ADM Investor Services-0,4%
• 2 Mar 2026Euro Declines on Dollar Strength-1,8%
• 2 Mar 2026European markets hurting as Iran war widens | Reuters-1,8%

Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.

• 2 Mar 2026Dollar (USD) Gains as Higher Oil Prices Damp Bets on Fed Rate Cuts - Bloomberg+35,6%
• 13 Feb 2023Oil edges higher as market weighs Russian supply cuts amid demand fears | Reuters-4,3%
• 3 Jan 2020Soleimani strike lifts safe-haven yen; grim U.S. data hits dollar | Reuters-2,6%
• 22 Feb 2022Oil settles near 2014 high on Russia-Ukraine escalation | Reuters+5,3%
• 20 Feb 2026Brent rises late, settles higher and with weekly gain on Iran-US jitters | Reuters-2,2%