
Russia's trade and industry ministry has recommended that fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports, and urea barges traded as high as $795 per tonne in New Orleans on March 4. Analysts say the market had partly expected the move, but the halt will tighten a supply base that was already low on inventories.
US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack had earlier warned suppliers not to exploit the war to inflate prices.
Trade in Russian fertilizer exports removes supply from an already tight market, lifting urea and other nutrient prices for US and global farmers. Higher input costs will feed through to feed grain and livestock production costs.
Setelah 129 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.