
Global natural gas prices are rising to levels not seen in over a decade, with Russia's war in Ukraine blamed for high European energy prices. The scramble for non-Russian supply has pushed U.S. prices to roughly double since the start of the year.
The analysis suggests much of the price is a risk premium rather than a physical shortage, so prices could ease if supply fears fade, but spikes remain possible while the war continues. Higher gas feeds into nitrogen fertilizer costs.
Setelah 136 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median +2,7% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,8% sampai +8,8%), dan +4,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.