
A Bank of Canada deputy governor speech on May 12, 2022 described the commodity price shock from the pandemic and the Ukraine war. It noted nominal commodity prices had doubled since summer 2020, with oil up about 150%.
Persistent commodity inflation raises input costs and pushes central banks toward tighter policy, which can strengthen the US dollar and weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices. The speech signals that rate hikes will continue.
Setelah 487 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +1,0% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,0% sampai +4,0%), dan +1,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.