Black swan in the Black Sea: fertilizer

Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.

Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.

• 20 Feb 2023World’s fertilizer market in turmoil+1,8%
• 1 Okt 2026Hunger on the Horizon: The New Black Sea Grain Crisis-6,6%
• 3 Mar 2026Fertilizer Markets Surge Following Escalation in the Middle East - RFD+10,0%
• 28 Sep 2022How the war in Ukraine is affecting the world's supply of fertilizer : NPR-5,3%
• 27 Jan 2022More Fertilizer Volatility?-5,6%

Setelah 114 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,2%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

• 20 Feb 2023World’s fertilizer market in turmoil-5,5%
• 3 Mar 2026Fertilizer Markets Surge Following Escalation in the Middle East - RFD+1,2%
• 28 Sep 2022How the war in Ukraine is affecting the world's supply of fertilizer : NPR-2,6%
• 27 Jan 2022More Fertilizer Volatility?-2,0%
• 25 Okt 2026Fertilizer’s Next Big Problem? It Goes Beyond the Strait of Hormuz-1,1%