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GAPKI analysts say a Chinese reopening from zero-Covid policy could trigger a broader commodity rally and support crude palm oil exports. Malaysian planters report a labour shortage of about 55,000 workers that is cutting yields, and Malaysian stocks reached 2.4 million tons in October, 31% higher year on year.
Expected Chinese demand recovery would support palm exports and prices, but high local stocks and rising labour costs limit the upside. Producers need sustained high prices to offset input cost inflation.
gapki.idGabungan Pengusaha Kelapa Sawit Indonesia (GAPKI)1 Des 2022Setelah 38 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (61% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,5% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
