
Bond yields extended their rally after the Bank of Japan kept yield curve control and softer US retail sales, producer prices and industrial production data came in. The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 3.40%, and markets focused on a 25bp Fed hike in February and possible Fed cuts later.
Expectations of a near-end to Fed tightening weaken the dollar and reduce financing costs, which can modestly support commodity prices and dollar-denominated export demand.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.