◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

22 Feb 2023MAKROEropa

Investors increase bets on ECB lifting rates to all-time high

Investors are pricing the ECB deposit rate to rise to 3.75% by September from 2.5%, matching the 2001 peak. The move follows resilient eurozone services activity and wage demands, with ECB president Lagarde watching negotiated wages closely.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Expectations of higher euro rates tend to support the euro and can firm the currency against the dollar, a mild headwind for dollar-priced commodities.

BERDAMPAK PADAEuro (USD per EUR)▲

1 SUMBER
ft.comMartin Arnold in Frankfurt22 Feb 2023

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Euro (USD per EUR)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -0,3%5d -0,5%20d +1,1%

Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.

15 Jun 2023ECB in no mood to pause after lifting rates to 22-year high+0,9%
14 Agu 2024Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB+1,4%
30 Jul 2026Euro Rises on Strong Eurozone Data and ECB Rate Hike Bets+1,4%
1 Sep 2026Euro zone inflation rises above 3%, cementing ECB rate hike bets | Reuters+0,1%
23 Jan 2023Dollar edges lower vs euro on ECB rate hike bets | Reuters+0,2%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Euro (USD per EUR) EURUSD · GP ▸

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