
Brazilian stocks and the real fell after Bloomberg reported that President Lula's administration was pushing for an early review of the inflation target with the aim of raising it. Markets have priced in higher long-term interest rates as a result, the opposite of the government's goal of cheaper credit.
Currency weakness and higher rates raise the cost of financing for Brazilian agribusiness, while a weaker real could make Brazilian exports more competitive; the effect on feed commodity prices is indirect.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.