
France, the EU's largest wheat producer, has had significant dryness in late winter and early spring, and the USDA FAS says more rain is needed for winter crops and for corn planting. The agency is concerned that the 2023-24 crop could face drought similar to the 2020-21 and 2022-23 seasons.
Groundwater levels were described as deteriorated after a very dry winter.
A drought-hit French crop would cut EU wheat exports and could support world wheat prices, while a possible corn shortfall would tighten feed-grain supplies. The risk is still a forecast, so the price effect depends on rainfall over coming weeks.
Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.