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Chicago wheat futures jumped as much as 9%, the largest rise since 2012, after Russia's defense ministry said all ships bound for Ukrainian ports from Thursday would be treated as possibly carrying military cargo. Paris wheat closed up 8.2%, its biggest gain since February 2022.
The explicit threat to shipping to Ukraine removes a major grain export route and sharply lifts global wheat benchmarks. Higher wheat prices also strengthen the case for substituting cheaper feed grains.
bloomberg.comAine Quinn, Megan Durisin Albery, Michael Hirtzer19 Jul 2023Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 361 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 323 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Chicago wheat jumped as much as 9% after Russia's defense ministry said Ukraine-bound ships would be treated as possible military cargo carriers, a direct Black Sea supply and trade-flow shock close to the move window.
