
Indian fertilizer companies are waiting before buying after China banned urea exports, with the government negotiating supply deals on their behalf. Stocks in the pipeline are said to cover urea demand until mid-December, and DAP and potash until December.
Some companies fear the Chinese ban could push up DAP and muriate of potash prices, as happened during the 2021 ban.
Because India is heavily import-dependent, its delay in buying limits near-term urea demand, but a Chinese export ban could still lift DAP and potash prices if supply tightens further.
Setelah 176 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,4%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 193 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,8%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.