
Economist Ken Bailey told the Dairy Financial and Risk Management Conference that US and global dairy demand is suppressed by Federal Reserve rate hikes and slowing growth. He forecasts real GDP growth slowing to 1.9% in 2023 and 0.5% in 2024, and higher dairy prices only once demand recovers around 2025.
Expectations of weak dairy demand through 2024 suggest limited price support for milk and reduced demand for dairy-feed ingredients.
Setelah 49 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,5% sampai +0,6%), dan -7,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.