
The bond yield gap between China and the US has widened to its largest since 2002, with China's 10-year yield about 220 basis points below US Treasuries. Gains in the yuan after better-than-expected growth and retail sales data quickly faded.
A wide yield gap encourages capital outflows and keeps pressure on the yuan, raising the dollar cost of Chinese imports. Weak currency conditions can also weigh on Chinese buying of feed commodities.
Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.