
New York Fed President John Williams uses an onion metaphor to explain U.S. inflation, noting inflation has fallen from a peak above 7% to 3.5% on the PCE measure. He says the outer layer is globally traded commodities such as grains, oil, steel and lumber, whose prices have eased as global demand has come into better balance.
Williams' view that commodity-driven inflation is fading suggests the Fed may hold rates high for longer, keeping the dollar firm and adding a modest headwind to dollar-priced grain and oil.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.