The Fed held rates unchanged on January 31, 2024, while signalling that cuts are likely this year and that it needs more confidence inflation will reach 2%. USD/JPY dropped to around 146.00 after a risk-off reaction, then pulled back in choppy trade.
Markets priced a high chance of a first cut by May.
A softer dollar and a firmer yen lower the local-currency cost of USD-priced feed grains and meal for Japan, which can support import demand. Dollar weakness also tends to lend modest support to dollar-denominated grain prices.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.