
ING expects the US January core PCE price index to rise 0.4% month-on-month, after fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised to 3.2% annualised. The Fed Funds futures curve was pricing about 80bp of easing for 2024.
A hotter inflation print would push back Fed rate-cut bets and support the dollar, which typically pressures dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and tightens feed import costs for non-US buyers.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.