
AgWeb reports that experts see geopolitics, weather and low supply as top concerns in the US fertilizer market as spring prices rise seasonally. Rabobank expects the worst of the price spike to be over, while StoneX notes that new Russian pipelines could bring large supply back and sharply lower prices.
Israel-Hamas tensions are also flagged as a risk.
Expected new Russian ammonia supply could ease input costs over time, but geopolitical risk near Ukraine and the Middle East keeps the outlook uncertain for crop production costs.
Setelah 11 peristiwa geopolitik netral sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (64% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,0% sampai +5,9%), dan +7,8% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.