
Urea barges at New Orleans traded roughly $50-80/st higher after the US-Israel strikes on Iran began on 28 February. Second-half March barges moved to $520-550/st fob.
Middle Eastern supply is at risk because of the Strait of Hormuz disruption.
The Middle East supplies a large share of global urea, so disrupted shipments before US spring application season tighten supply and push up nitrogen costs for corn growers. Higher fertilizer costs squeeze feed-grain margins.
Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.