AHDB's daily grain report says La Niña could return in summer 2024, with NOAA putting the chance at 65% for July to September and 85% for November to January. UK feed wheat futures eased on strong expected US end-of-season stocks and improving Russian crop prospects.
The report notes La Niña often causes major weather changes in many regions.
Expected La Niña weather could affect crop yields in several exporting regions, which supports the price outlook for wheat. Current pressure on wheat prices comes mainly from ample supply, so the weather risk is a longer-term support.
Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.