◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

29 Jul 2024CUACAGlobal

What Does La Niña Mean for Agricultural Markets? Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar Changes

Bloomberg reports that the tropical Pacific is currently in a neutral state, with about a 70% chance of La Niña forming between August and October and possibly lasting into the Northern Hemisphere winter. La Niña brings cooler tropical Pacific waters.

The article links the outlook to cocoa, coffee and sugar markets.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A likely La Niña raises the risk of uneven rainfall in key growing regions over the coming season, which can tighten supplies and support prices. The direct effect on feed commodities in this piece is limited.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung Kedelai Gandum (SRW)Minyak Sawit

1 SUMBER
bloomberg.comDayanne Sousa, Ilena Peng29 Jul 2024

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagungtidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +0,5%5d −1,0%20d −4,8%

Setelah 2.467 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,6% selama 20 sesi.

12 Agu 2025With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+0,0%
14 Agu 2017What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? | The Weather Channel-2,0%
3 Mar 2025What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0,2%
21 Mei 2026What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-1,7%
19 Okt 2021La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops+0,7%

Kedelaitidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d −2,1%5d −4,5%20d −11,6%

Setelah 1.964 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

12 Agu 2025With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+3,2%
3 Mar 2025What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0,1%
21 Mei 2026What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-0,4%
19 Okt 2021La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops+1,3%
9 Jan 2025La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg+5,6%

Gandum (SRW)tidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d −4,4%5d −4,2%20d −6,9%

Setelah 1.773 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,1%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

12 Agu 2025With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2,8%
21 Mei 2026What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-1,6%
9 Jan 2025La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg+0,0%
23 Agu 2024Low falling numbers could have a big impact on wheat market - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets-0,2%
15 Jul 2018New contract lows for crops - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+4,1%

Minyak Sawittidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d −0,1%5d +1,4%20d +1,0%

Setelah 361 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

12 Agu 2025With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2,2%
1 Agu 2026El Niño 2026: Converging Pressures on Vegetable Oil Markets - Center for Commercial Agriculture+2,0%
5 Mei 2023What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC+4,8%
6 Des 2019What lies ahead for our sugarcane farmers and workers under climate change? – OML Center+2,5%
1 Feb 2025La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast+3,6%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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