
Brazil's central bank raised the Selic rate to 10.75% from 10.5% on September 18, 2024, its first increase since August 2022, with a unanimous vote. The same day the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 basis points, widening the rate differential between the two countries.
A higher Selic and a wider rate gap with the US tend to support the real, which can make Brazilian commodity exports more expensive in dollar terms.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.