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11 Des 2024MAKROTiongkok

EXCLUSIVE: Chinese authorities are considering a weaker yuan as Trump trade risks loom

Chinese leaders and policymakers are reportedly considering letting the yuan weaken in 2025 as they prepare for higher US tariffs under Donald Trump. The move is seen as a way to offset tariff impacts and fund bigger economic stimulus.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A weaker yuan makes Chinese exports cheaper but also makes Chinese buyers' dollar-priced US farm imports more expensive, which can weigh on US soybean and feed demand and pressure dollar-denominated grain prices.

BERDAMPAK PADAYuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD)▲Kedelai▼Jagung▼

1 SUMBER
reuters.com11 Des 2024

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,1%5d +0,5%20d +1,1%

Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.

31 Agu 2023EXCLUSIVE: Chinese exporters using currency swaps to retain dollars as yuan sags | Reuters+0,6%
6 Des 2022China's yuan slips, traders wary of reopening risks | Reuters+0,2%
17 Jan 2025Markets are betting China will let yuan fall as Trump takes power, but not much | Reuters-1,2%
29 Okt 2018China's yuan finishes onshore trading at weakest since 2008 By Reuters-0,8%
13 Nov 2020Chinese yuan after Biden election win, Trump's trade war-0,4%

Kedelai▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d +0,1%5d -1,8%20d -0,3%

Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

31 Agu 2023EXCLUSIVE: Chinese exporters using currency swaps to retain dollars as yuan sags | Reuters-2,6%
20 Jan 2025A weakening yuan tests Beijing's resolve as Trump tariff threats loom+1,1%
12 Nov 2024China’s yuan weakens to 3-1/2-month low as Trump tariff threat weighs - Markets - Business Recorder-0,2%
28 Sep 2018NEXEN | Reuters Insider - Asia Insight: Yuan eases to 1-month low, set for longest monthly losing streak since 1994+0,5%
8 Apr 2025China's yuan hits 2023 lows on signs PBOC is tolerant of some weakness | Reuters+6,0%

Jagung▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -0,3%5d +0,5%20d +2,4%

Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,2% sampai +1,3%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

20 Jan 2025A weakening yuan tests Beijing's resolve as Trump tariff threats loom+0,3%
12 Nov 2024China’s yuan weakens to 3-1/2-month low as Trump tariff threat weighs - Markets - Business Recorder-0,5%
3 Sep 2018Trade war could force heavier hand from China on yuan+0,9%
26 Jul 2022Inflation-Hit Consumers Are Trading Down to Chicken From Beef - Bloomberg+6,6%
28 Nov 2024Chinese yuan to hit record lows as U.S. tariff threat mounts, investment banks forecast+1,1%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) USDCNY · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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